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Sensitivity analysis

What it means

Moving one assumption of the calculation at a time (how often your opponent folds, your equity, your realization, the stack, the size) until you find the value at which two lines tie: the break-even point. If your read on your opponent is far from that value, the choice holds up against read mistakes; if it's right next to it, either line is close.

Example

With J♥T♥ facing 9 bb into a pot of 13.5: the 33.5 bb all-in (40 bb stacks) beats calling if your opponent folds more than 38.21%; the 93.5 bb one (100 bb stacks), only if they fold more than 63.86%.

Also called: sensitivity analysis · análisis de sensibilidad · punto de quiebre

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